Khamenei

20 resolved · 30 open · 6/20 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Open $42,366,575 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Open $26,079,375 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $18,287,763 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? Open $8,176,768 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Open $3,199,453 Iran leadership change by May 31? Open $2,511,177 Iran leadership change by December 31? Open $2,465,495 Iran leadership change by June 30? Open $1,323,003 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Open $964,455 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Open $934,901 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran? Open $835,426 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Open $808,280 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? Open $785,610 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Open $330,101 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Open $321,874 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? Open $318,028 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? Open $310,061 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? Open $288,141 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? Open $286,738 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia? Open $247,741 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? Open $235,738 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? Open $226,564 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? Open $223,703 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? Open $223,014

Resolved markets

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No · 0% $63,229,538 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? Yes · 100% $22,688,334 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No · 0% $17,372,089 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? No · 0% $10,993,956 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? No · 0% $8,447,703 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Yes · 100% $8,216,308 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? No · 0% $8,130,896 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? No · 0% $7,792,978 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? No · 0% $7,115,645 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? Yes · 100% $5,006,329 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? No · 0% $4,992,689 Iran leadership change by April 30? No · 0% $4,964,959 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? Yes · 100% $4,606,548 Iran leadership change by March 31? No · 0% $3,230,922 Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? Yes · 100% $2,718,220 Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)? No · 0% $2,542,437 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? No · 0% $2,464,018 Will the Iranian regime fall before July? No · 0% $2,098,344 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? No · 0% $1,907,657