Iran

161 resolved · 158 open · 55/161 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $57,598,361 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $24,283,310 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Open $11,679,310 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Open $9,282,713 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Open $7,351,746 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Open $6,893,287 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $5,693,111 Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $5,187,390 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Open $4,151,724 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Open $4,051,648 Iran leadership change by December 31? Open $3,837,725 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Open $3,738,768 Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,684,509 Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,342,279 Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,136,574 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Open $2,818,878 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $2,304,819 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Open $2,244,866 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Open $2,206,760 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Open $2,109,988 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,101,224 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,094,223 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Open $1,758,077 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Open $1,544,447

Resolved markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No · 0% $65,931,941 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No · 0% $63,229,538 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No · 0% $52,714,900 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Yes · 100% $51,779,894 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No · 0% $44,111,325 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No · 0% $38,330,965 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587