Iran

290 resolved · 245 open · 74/290 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Open $51,023,117 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $34,965,459 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Open $21,584,716 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Open $20,823,319 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $19,588,021 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Open $15,993,470 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Open $11,410,797 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Open $10,784,538 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Open $9,241,316 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Open $7,359,693 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Open $6,470,505 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Open $5,774,580 Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Open $5,679,758 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Open $5,674,196 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Open $5,147,746 Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Open $4,375,554 Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Open $4,132,185 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Open $3,690,204 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Open $3,390,908 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Open $3,301,981 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Open $2,900,758 Iran leadership change by June 30? Open $2,834,060 Iran leadership change by December 31? Open $2,819,496 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Open $2,624,582

Resolved markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No · 0% $63,229,538 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No · 0% $52,714,900 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Yes · 100% $51,779,894 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No · 0% $38,330,965 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587 US military action against Iran before July? Yes · 100% $29,917,021 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? Yes · 100% $28,778,655 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? Yes · 100% $28,623,187 Israel military action against Iraq before November? Yes · 100% $27,780,154