Peace Deal

24 resolved · 49 open · 7/24 resolved YES

Open markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Open $3,427,056 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $2,767,440 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $1,907,402 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $1,740,605 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Open $1,650,643 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Open $1,376,083 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Open $1,369,496 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? Open $1,203,240 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Open $1,126,515 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? Open $715,639 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Open $687,279 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Open $638,616 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Open $561,869 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Open $512,409 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? Open $409,133 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Open $365,734 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? Open $351,551 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Open $337,972 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? Open $312,093 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? Open $265,363 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $262,275 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Open $257,431 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? Open $253,142 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? Open $242,663

Resolved markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No · 0% $22,930,944 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $20,219,694 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No · 0% $19,099,092 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $14,411,915 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $12,699,540 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No · 0% $11,308,232 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes · 100% $8,917,606 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No · 0% $8,715,170 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No · 0% $8,533,781 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? No · 0% $7,704,920 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $6,999,918 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? No · 0% $6,905,767 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? No · 0% $5,783,488 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $5,536,436 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? No · 0% $5,238,959 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? No · 0% $5,134,069 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No · 0% $4,936,928 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $4,743,472