Politics markets

791 resolved · 995 open

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $80,062,376 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $55,187,135 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $54,667,909 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $52,983,676 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $51,134,319 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $49,284,155 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Open $46,357,231 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Open $46,199,308 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $44,989,642 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,960,211 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $44,936,850 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $44,455,557 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,441,379 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,403,365 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,358,064 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,930,882 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,073,241 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,054,596 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,010,720 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $41,386,654 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $40,441,632 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $39,105,882 Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $39,000,032 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $38,803,485

Recently resolved

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $1,531,479,285 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $1,037,039,118 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Yes · 100% $400,409,527 US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $241,655,100 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $235,065,167 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $216,455,743 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? No · 0% $163,779,787 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $161,574,382 US government shutdown Saturday? Yes · 100% $157,296,576 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $153,382,276 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes · 100% $143,254,859 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $141,605,111 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $141,250,713 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? No · 0% $133,955,589 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $133,173,605 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $119,932,621 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? Yes · 100% $119,653,358