Politics markets

1493 resolved · 4158 open

Open markets

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $52,988,149 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $52,339,948 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Open $51,023,117 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $50,310,207 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $49,450,421 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $46,680,719 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $43,437,135 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $42,621,345 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $42,283,695 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $42,188,006 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $41,291,307 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $41,281,821 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $41,194,499 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $40,776,493 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $40,528,631 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $40,386,328 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $40,244,648 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $38,629,738 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $37,210,331 Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $37,189,440 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $37,015,011 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $34,965,459 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $34,651,480 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $34,574,246

Recently resolved

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $1,531,479,285 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $1,037,039,118 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Yes · 100% $400,409,527 US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $241,655,100 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $235,065,167 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $216,455,743 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? No · 0% $163,779,787 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $161,574,382 US government shutdown Saturday? Yes · 100% $157,296,576 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $153,382,276 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes · 100% $143,254,859 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $141,605,111 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $141,250,713 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? No · 0% $133,955,589 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $133,173,605 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $119,932,621 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? Yes · 100% $119,653,358 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $116,558,196