Tech markets

18 resolved · 79 open

Open markets

Human moon landing in 2026? Open $1,981,708 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Open $1,183,716 GTA 6 launch postponed again? Open $1,145,823 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $657,172 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Open $599,125 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $572,110 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Open $550,275 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Open $480,017 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Open $385,708 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Open $368,729 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $321,355 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $315,771 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Open $302,645 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $300,064 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $282,190 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Open $281,649 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $268,612 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Open $268,257 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $266,181 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $244,086 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $229,512 Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $214,705 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Open $200,449 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $194,841

Recently resolved

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes · 100% $13,950,282 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? Yes · 100% $12,177,341 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? No · 0% $11,890,598 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No · 0% $10,483,734 TikTok sale announced in 2025? Yes · 100% $9,671,895 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? Yes · 100% $9,333,885 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? Yes · 100% $9,190,061 Will Doom: The Dark Ages win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? No · 0% $8,018,334 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No · 0% $7,533,509 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $7,527,608 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $7,300,706 Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No · 0% $7,248,123 Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? Yes · 100% $6,844,356 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? Yes · 100% $6,604,478 Will Metroid Prime 4: Beyond win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? No · 0% $5,635,442 OpenAI browser by October 31? Yes · 100% $5,507,335 Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? No · 0% $5,434,606 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No · 0% $5,143,391