Kevin Warsh

3 resolved · 55 open · 1/3 resolved YES

Open markets

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $8,580,218 Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $5,272,134 Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $4,954,180 Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $4,291,811 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $4,225,100 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,960,832 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Open $3,849,455 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Open $3,657,278 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,526,650 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Open $3,380,611 Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,295,913 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,294,039 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,000,693 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $2,937,462 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $2,738,806 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Open $2,558,789 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Open $2,417,708 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Open $2,189,139 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Open $2,098,165 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Open $1,374,727 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Open $539,016 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Open $500,657 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Open $444,268 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Open $375,974

Resolved markets

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? No · 0% $23,970,640 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes · 100% $14,412,258 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? No · 0% $10,611,544