Iran Ceasefire

59 resolved · 41 open · 21/59 resolved YES

Open markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Open $13,736,045 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Open $8,436,306 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Open $4,716,223 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Open $2,520,402 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? Open $2,123,972 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $1,955,448 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $1,846,187 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? Open $1,715,296 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Open $1,696,806 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? Open $1,606,609 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? Open $1,348,865 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $1,289,034 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Open $1,108,564 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Open $1,083,861 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Open $965,735 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? Open $881,974 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? Open $861,322 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Open $809,014 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Open $763,959 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Open $566,960 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Open $536,160 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? Open $536,100 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $519,851 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Open $481,256

Resolved markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Yes · 100% $24,621,548 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No · 0% $22,930,944 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? Yes · 100% $20,894,918 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No · 0% $20,542,829 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No · 0% $19,099,092 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Yes · 100% $17,726,878 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? Yes · 100% $17,450,416 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No · 0% $17,372,089 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $14,411,915 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? Yes · 100% $13,670,502 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No · 0% $13,456,217 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? No · 0% $13,050,669