Jerome Powell

68 resolved · 1 open · 12/68 resolved YES

Open markets

Resolved markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $235,065,167 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $216,455,743 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $161,574,382 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $133,173,605 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $106,767,096 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $102,216,689 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $101,211,543 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $87,103,284 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $76,909,226 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $75,978,206 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? No · 0% $67,368,762 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? No · 0% $67,002,489 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $66,025,384 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $65,311,949 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No · 0% $56,435,145 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No · 0% $56,255,119 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Yes · 100% $54,634,507 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $52,589,989 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? Yes · 100% $51,626,218 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? No · 0% $49,890,284 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $46,052,654