Jerome Powell

63 resolved · 58 open · 10/63 resolved YES

Open markets

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $7,080,721 Fed rate hike in 2026? Open $6,984,039 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Open $5,222,348 Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $5,030,213 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Open $4,880,935 Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $4,849,473 Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $4,155,493 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Open $4,142,908 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,896,373 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,710,872 Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,205,085 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $3,201,154 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $2,662,333 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Open $2,566,070 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $2,464,134 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $2,455,886 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Open $2,450,249 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Open $2,422,429 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Open $2,407,421 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Open $2,280,802 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Open $1,368,676 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Open $728,373 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Open $531,455 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Open $488,273

Resolved markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $235,065,167 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $216,455,743 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $161,574,382 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $133,173,605 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $106,767,096 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $102,216,689 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $101,211,543 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $87,103,284 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $76,909,226 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $75,978,206 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? No · 0% $67,368,762 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? No · 0% $67,002,489 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $66,025,384 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $65,311,949 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Yes · 100% $54,634,507 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $52,589,989 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? Yes · 100% $51,626,218 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? No · 0% $49,890,284 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $46,052,654 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $44,523,455 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? No · 0% $43,479,262