Parent For Derivative

60 resolved · 162 open · 11/60 resolved YES

Open markets

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Open $68,437,191 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $55,187,135 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $54,667,909 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $52,983,676 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $51,134,319 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $49,284,155 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $44,989,642 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,960,211 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $44,936,850 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $44,455,557 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,441,379 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,403,365 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,358,064 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,930,882 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,073,241 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,054,596 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,010,720 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $41,386,654 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $40,441,632 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $39,105,882 Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $39,000,032 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $38,803,485 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $38,168,390 Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $37,927,049

Resolved markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 US government shutdown Saturday? Yes · 100% $157,296,576 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $87,103,284 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $38,740,980 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes · 100% $37,373,962 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $36,122,906 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $35,603,625 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $29,229,522 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $27,875,357 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $26,000,157 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No · 0% $25,928,654 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? No · 0% $25,087,849 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? No · 0% $24,724,503 Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $24,537,485 Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $23,577,646 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $22,847,635 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $22,213,247 Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $21,325,692