Trump

209 resolved · 209 open · 67/209 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $69,541,276 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Open $35,578,605 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $32,790,733 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $26,345,819 Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $25,860,348 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Open $23,051,657 Trump out as President before 2027? Open $11,888,428 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Open $10,868,752 Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $9,275,065 Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $5,655,685 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Open $4,721,549 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $4,154,186 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Open $3,849,455 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Open $3,657,278 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $3,268,468 Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $3,001,708 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Open $2,784,617 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Open $2,682,814 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Open $2,580,815 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Open $2,558,789 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $2,444,739 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Open $2,417,708 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,385,434 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,270,668

Resolved markets

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $1,531,479,285 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $1,037,039,118 US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $241,655,100 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? No · 0% $163,779,787 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $153,382,276 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $141,605,111 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $141,250,713 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $119,932,621 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $116,558,196 Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $107,529,158 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $93,307,168 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? Yes · 100% $90,915,984 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 Will Trump launch a coin before the election? Yes · 100% $76,899,061 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $72,176,112 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? No · 0% $70,237,133 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? No · 0% $56,491,984