Trump

394 resolved · 700 open · 115/394 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $34,965,459 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Open $33,644,245 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $32,301,862 Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $25,396,791 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Open $21,584,716 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Open $20,823,319 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $19,588,021 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Open $10,212,008 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Open $9,241,316 Trump out as President before 2027? Open $8,981,349 Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $8,767,041 Trump out as President by June 30? Open $6,731,198 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Open $5,674,196 Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $5,298,628 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $3,739,433 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Open $3,690,204 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Open $3,374,904 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Open $3,301,981 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Open $2,766,938 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Open $2,624,582 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Open $2,506,572 Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $2,460,219 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Open $2,434,718 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Open $2,400,178

Resolved markets

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $1,531,479,285 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $1,037,039,118 US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $241,655,100 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? No · 0% $163,779,787 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $153,382,276 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $141,605,111 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $141,250,713 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $119,932,621 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $116,558,196 Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $107,529,158 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $93,307,168 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? Yes · 100% $90,915,984 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 Will Trump launch a coin before the election? Yes · 100% $76,899,061 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $72,176,112 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? No · 0% $70,237,133 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? No · 0% $56,491,984 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $54,161,276