U.S. x Iran

55 resolved · 54 open · 13/55 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $80,062,376 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $6,305,220 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $4,601,106 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Open $3,055,906 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,689,876 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,654,247 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Open $2,576,987 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $2,239,068 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Open $1,415,234 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Open $1,068,717 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Open $909,118 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Open $897,615 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Open $847,929 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Open $746,128 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Open $690,541 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Open $686,362 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Open $677,112 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Open $585,119 US military draft authorized in 2026? Open $551,534 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Open $470,564 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Open $430,385 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $396,830 Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Open $387,140 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $380,733

Resolved markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No · 0% $38,330,965 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? Yes · 100% $28,778,655 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No · 0% $22,930,944 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No · 0% $20,542,829 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $20,219,694 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No · 0% $19,099,092 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No · 0% $17,940,559 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No · 0% $17,372,089 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? No · 0% $15,430,021 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $14,411,915 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No · 0% $13,456,217 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? No · 0% $13,050,669 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $12,699,540 Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? No · 0% $12,086,752 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes · 100% $11,868,402