Grok

24 resolved · 63 open · 3/24 resolved YES

Open markets

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $1,151,349 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $984,203 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $642,163 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $571,894 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $560,581 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $548,433 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $449,968 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $449,081 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $437,329 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $428,426 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $417,737 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $407,656 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $363,609 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $277,896 Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $272,054 Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $259,013 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $249,251 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $227,819 Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $224,084 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $222,773 Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $207,117 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $202,174 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $201,805 Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Open $137,791

Resolved markets

Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $8,697,440 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $7,527,608 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $7,300,706 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? Yes · 100% $4,201,493 Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $4,063,680 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? No · 0% $3,141,144 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,799,960 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,632,067 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,476,743 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,355,571 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,069,280 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $2,060,523 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $1,937,942 Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,870,945 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? No · 0% $1,867,517 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $1,840,881 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,794,863 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Yes · 100% $1,753,531 Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,728,389 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Yes · 100% $1,700,794 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? No · 0% $1,660,556 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? No · 0% $1,653,187 Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,640,870 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $1,618,831