Gaza

28 resolved · 24 open · 11/28 resolved YES

Open markets

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Open $492,272 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? Open $301,943 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $147,694 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $145,378 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Open $129,026 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $118,332 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Open $116,253 Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Open $95,505 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $89,081 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? Open $80,243 Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? Open $69,213 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Open $67,878 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Open $64,208 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $63,487 Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $58,017 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Open $54,153 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Open $50,357 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Open $44,607 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $43,371 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? Open $24,902 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Open $24,866 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Open $23,935 Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? Open $14,029 Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31? Open $9,457

Resolved markets

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $16,913,391 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? No · 0% $11,176,262 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8? Yes · 100% $10,249,058 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? No · 0% $7,169,804 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? Yes · 100% $6,659,881 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? No · 0% $6,106,878 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? No · 0% $5,951,177 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? Yes · 100% $5,865,685 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? No · 0% $5,412,174 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? Yes · 100% $5,313,534 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? No · 0% $5,286,247 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $4,085,751 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8? Yes · 100% $4,021,935 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? No · 0% $3,950,959 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? Yes · 100% $3,556,471 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? No · 0% $3,489,289 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15? No · 0% $3,363,702 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $3,322,938 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23? No · 0% $3,122,261 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? No · 0% $2,502,858 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? No · 0% $2,276,228 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? No · 0% $2,275,989 Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31? Yes · 100% $2,142,565 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? Yes · 100% $1,956,356