fomc

38 resolved · 19 open · 8/38 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Open $7,992,814 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Open $7,364,340 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Open $5,411,946 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Open $4,953,437 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Open $4,283,323 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Open $812,770 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Open $812,411 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Open $703,200 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Open $561,269 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Open $515,377 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Open $486,135 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Open $269,350 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Open $238,763 Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Open $231,920 Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Open $231,621 Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Open $118,685 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? Open $104,620 Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Open $96,272 Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Open $83,224

Resolved markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $235,065,167 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $216,455,743 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $161,574,382 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $133,173,605 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $106,767,096 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $102,216,689 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $101,211,543 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $87,103,284 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $76,909,226 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $75,978,206 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $66,025,384 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? No · 0% $65,311,949 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No · 0% $56,435,145 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No · 0% $56,255,119 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Yes · 100% $54,634,507 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $52,589,989 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? Yes · 100% $51,626,218 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? No · 0% $46,052,654 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $44,523,455 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $43,061,416 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $42,158,279 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Yes · 100% $40,497,086 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No · 0% $37,866,883