China

17 resolved · 38 open · 5/17 resolved YES

Open markets

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Open $46,357,231 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Open $3,764,034 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Open $3,540,752 China x Japan military clash before 2027? Open $1,474,004 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Open $1,132,202 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Open $600,183 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Open $570,813 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Open $467,926 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Open $249,861 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Open $237,892 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Open $233,933 US x China Military clash before 2027? Open $224,529 China coup attempt before 2027? Open $169,014 Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Open $140,827 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Open $137,997 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Open $127,163 Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Open $125,795 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Open $117,717 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Open $115,291 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Open $114,330 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Open $109,028 Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? Open $106,539 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Open $103,487 Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Open $99,521

Resolved markets

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? Yes · 100% $119,653,358 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? No · 0% $28,337,791 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No · 0% $17,940,559 Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes · 100% $15,068,494 Will Trump visit China by April 30? No · 0% $12,827,468 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? No · 0% $12,364,378 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? No · 0% $12,129,905 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No · 0% $12,006,094 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? Yes · 100% $11,020,745 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? No · 0% $10,607,442 Will Trump visit China by March 31? No · 0% $10,369,639 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? No · 0% $9,968,465 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? Yes · 100% $9,134,078 Will Trump visit China by May 31? Yes · 100% $7,626,224 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? No · 0% $5,672,418