Canada

30 resolved · 69 open · 5/30 resolved YES

Open markets

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? Open $583,873 Will Alberta join the US? Open $201,323 Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Open $164,138 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Open $148,978 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Open $126,405 Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Open $119,045 Another Canada election called by June 30? Open $80,557 Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Open $69,140 Canada recession before 2027? Open $67,199 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Open $62,814 Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Open $57,571 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Open $57,065 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Open $54,319 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? Open $47,125 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Open $38,640 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? Open $33,795 Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Open $31,012 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Open $28,617 Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Open $27,269 Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Open $25,545 Will Harman Bhangu win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Open $22,308 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Open $21,949 Will Bruce Banman win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Open $15,029 Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Open $13,952

Resolved markets

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? No · 0% $67,376,036 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? Yes · 100% $36,416,000 Will Jaime Battiste be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? No · 0% $15,348,884 Will another party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian Election? No · 0% $8,774,626 Will another party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election? No · 0% $8,479,329 Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister? No · 0% $8,476,682 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? No · 0% $7,322,211 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? No · 0% $6,726,161 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? Yes · 100% $5,152,025 Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister? No · 0% $5,148,798 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? Yes · 100% $4,811,448 Liberals win majority in Canadian election? No · 0% $4,638,785 Will another party win the most seats? No · 0% $4,310,752 Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? No · 0% $3,750,275 Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister? No · 0% $3,567,692 Will Mark Carney lose his seat? No · 0% $3,559,264 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? No · 0% $3,455,524 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? No · 0% $3,398,501 Will the Green Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election? No · 0% $3,079,374 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? No · 0% $2,789,313 Will another party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election? No · 0% $2,641,816 Will another party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election? No · 0% $2,407,777 Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? No · 0% $2,145,821 Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition? No · 0% $2,137,097